Mild, wet summer in the midwest predicted by weather expert

Following a dry, mild winter in the Midwest, a University of Missouri meteorology expert is predicting a relatively wet and mild summer for Missouri and much of the Midwest. Tony Lupo, a professor of atmospheric science at Mizzou, says normal temperatures and average rainfall this summer should help boost agricultureCultivation of the ground and harvesting of crops and handling of livestock, the primary function is the provision of food and feed. in the region after a dry winter.

“Historically, after dry winters such as the one we just experienced, we typically see a pattern change and experience average to wetter-than-average summers,” Lupo said. “We already are seeing the beginning of this shift with the very wet spring we have experienced so far. With milder temperatures and a healthy amount of rainRain is liquid water in the form of droplets that have condensed from atmospheric water vapor and then precipitated—that is, become heavy enough to fall under gravity. Rain is a major component of the water cycle and is responsible for depositing most of the fresh water on the Earth. It ..., farmers around Missouri and much of the Midwest can hope to have great growing conditions for much of the summer.”

Lupo’s forecast calls for slightly higher than normal corn and soybean yields throughout the state of Missouri, with the exception of southeast Missouri, which may see slightly below average yields. Lupo says the mild, average forecast for the summer can be attributed, at least in part, to the projected El Niño conditions in the Pacific Ocean.

“Early during the formation of El Niño patterns, the Midwest typically sees mild and wet summers, which is what we expect to experience this year,” Lupo said. “While those conditions will probably change as El Niño advances, people in the Midwest should be able to enjoy the mild weatherWeather refers to the state of the atmosphere with regard to temperature, cloudiness, rainfall, wind, and other meteorological conditions. (UKCIP) for this summer at least.”

Lupo published a study on his 2017 summer forecast, “ENSO and PDO-related climate variabilityClimate variability refers to variations in the mean state and other statistics (such as standard deviations, statistics of extremes, etc.) of the climate on all temporal and spatial scales beyond that of individual weather events. Variability may be due to natural internal processes within the ... impacts on Midwestern United States crop yields,” in the International Journal of Biometeorology. The lead author of the study was Chasity Henson, a doctoral student in the MU College of Agriculture, Food and Natural Resources and was coauthored by Patrick Market, a professor at MU, and Patrick Guinan, an associate extension professor at MU.

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Materials provided by University of Missouri-Columbia. Note: Content may be edited for style and length.

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